Records the full v2 gate result and three findings that outlive the ship call:
1. The effect is UNDERPOWERED, not absent. Both candidates closed 48-52% of the
achievable span to held-out Bronte and beat base on every individual seed, but
the gaps sit under the measured floor. Sensitivity floor stated so the negative
is falsifiable: cannot resolve better than ~0.251 delta_cb at 30 beats x 4 seeds.
Cause is structural — 81 val pairs against Hemingway's 200, from a 678k-word
corpus against 994k — and neither more beats nor more seeds fixes it.
2. A DEFECT IN THE v2 RULE. The floor is the largest within-arm spread across ALL
arms, so adding a third noisier arm raised the bar that failed the clean one.
Run as a two-arm gate the floor would have been 0.092 and the candidate would
have cleared at 2.1x. Deliberately NOT exploited — choosing the floor that
passes your preferred answer is the failure pre-registration exists to prevent —
but the rule should state whether the floor spans the compared pair or every arm
present. As written, a verdict depends on which other arms you happened to run.
3. The two-epochs-on-a-three-epoch-schedule recipe did NOT transfer. Bronte's two
minima are 0.0022 apart against a 0.0046 jitter; epoch 2 buys nothing over epoch
1. The epoch-3 collapse (+0.075, ~16x jitter) is the only robust part.
The outlier seed was diagnosed rather than waved away: a repeat-5gram degeneracy
probe is uniform at 0.0078-0.0102 across every seed and both arms, so it is genuine
delta_cb variance and the floor stands.
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