Vuong Hoang b4ba731b26 fix(r49): commit the held-out-author memorisation control, and amend the mccarthy prereg to use it
The lv-hemingway gate established that memorization_check.py's negative control is
defective: base-unadapted writes SUMMARY while the adapted arms write PASTICHE, and
text that does not imitate a register cannot collide with that register's n-grams.
Base's 0.00 partly measures "different register", not "did not memorise". A negative
control that differs from the candidate in a way correlated with the metric is not a
control.

The correct innocent sample is the author himself -- held-out text no arm trained on,
in the same register by construction. That control was computed BY HAND during the
lv-hemingway gate and never committed, so the finding it produced was not
reproducible. This commits it as --heldout-reference, with --train-only to build the
n-gram set from split=="train" records only (the default includes val, so a collision
with held-out text was being counted as memorisation of training text -- an overcount
Bronte's and Hemingway's numbers both carry).

--heldout-reference without --train-only REFUSES, because the held-out text would be
scored against a gram set containing itself.

Instrument controls:
  - default path reproduces the shipped lv-hemingway memorization.txt BYTE FOR BYTE
  - the new held-out row reproduces the lv-hemingway record's hand-computed numbers
    to the digit: 370 samples, hit-rate 0.01, mean-longest 0.1, max 10, at the same
    101-word median chunk length -- an independently written instrument reproducing a
    documented finding is what makes its zeroes mean absent rather than blind

GATE-PREREG.md AMENDMENT 1 adopts it for lv-mccarthy, appended rather than folded in
so the order of events stays legible. Written while the base arm was still generating
and before any McCarthy number had been read. It moves the reference a candidate is
compared against from a known-broken one to a known-correct one, in the direction
that makes the axis HARDER to pass, on an argument published four days before this
gate existed. Section 7's tiebreak is amended to match, and the amendment records
that an elevated rate is not by itself a no-ship -- rate and exposure are different
questions, every matched run gets READ, and McCarthy being in copyright with a living
estate makes a distinctive match disqualifying in a way a rate number alone is not.
2026-09-21 14:42:24 -07:00
2026-09-19 07:10:17 -07:00

eshpfi-management

Infrastructure management workspace for the PFI fleet (plus the ESH home-lab host). Tracks server state, canonical Docker Compose stacks, per-host configs, and the tooling that moves them around.

See CLAUDE.md for the full set of conventions and the rules Claude Code sessions follow when working here.

The fleet

Docker hosts:

Host IP Site Role
fv-ml1 10.251.50.54 Fountain Valley (10.251.0.0/16) GPU / AI inference (bare metal, 4× RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell Max-Q)
ana-docker 10.250.50.70 Anaheim General-purpose Docker + cross-site hubs (VM on pfi-pve)
nh3-docker 10.100.50.40 NH3 (10.100.0.0/16) General-purpose Docker (VM on nh3-pve)
esh-docker-vm 10.0.50.45 ESH home lab (esteban.net) Home-lab Docker (VM on esh-pve, non-PFI scope)
vm-esh-nas 10.0.50.154 ESH home lab NAS-adjacent Docker, NFS-mounted shares (VM on esh-pve-nas, non-PFI scope)

Proxmox hypervisors (tracked for inventory; not Docker targets):

Host IP Site Role
pfi-pve 10.250.250.31 Anaheim Proxmox VE (188 GB / Xeon Silver 4310)
nh3-pve 10.100.250.60 NH3 Proxmox VE (62 GB / i9-13900H)
esh-pve 10.0.250.35 ESH home lab Proxmox VE (62 GB / i9-13900H)
esh-pve-nas 10.0.50.55 ESH home lab Proxmox VE, storage-dedicated (125 GB / Xeon W-1250)

Per-host snapshots of the running system live under servers/<host>/system-details.txt, refreshed via scripts/refresh-server-info.sh.

Layout

.
├── CLAUDE.md                     # conventions; loaded by Claude Code sessions
├── README.md                     # this file
├── scripts/                      # workstation tooling
│   ├── server_inspect.sh         # read-only diagnostic, runs on remote via stdin
│   ├── proxmox_inspect.sh        # Proxmox-aware probe (VMs, LXCs, storage, backup coverage)
│   ├── refresh-server-info.sh    # pull fresh system-details.txt for one/all hosts
│   ├── refresh-proxmox-info.sh   # pull fresh proxmox-details.txt for one/all PVE nodes
│   ├── add-host.sh               # register a new server (writes servers/<name>/ssh-target)
│   ├── sync-stacks.sh            # pull /opt/docker/{compose,conf}/ → stacks-mirror/
│   ├── deploy-stack.sh           # push stacks-mirror/<host>/<stack>/ with diff + prompt
│   ├── discover-fortigate.sh     # DHCP lease list from a FortiGate via SSH
│   ├── discover-unifi.sh         # client list from a UniFi Controller via REST
│   └── discover-gaps.sh          # find IPs in discovery TSVs not tracked in servers/
├── servers/                      # per-host notes + latest snapshot + ssh-target fallback
│   └── <host>/
│       ├── README.md
│       ├── system-details.txt    # regenerate on demand
│       └── ssh-target            # <ip> or <user>@<ip>, used when DNS fails
├── stacks/                       # canonical compose files (source of truth)
│   └── <stack>/
│       ├── compose.yaml
│       ├── .env.example
│       └── README.md
├── stacks-mirror/                # gitignored — live mirror from sync-stacks.sh
├── configs/                      # host-level config files that aren't docker-compose
│   ├── homepage/                 # canonical config for the fleet dashboard (on esh-docker-vm)
│   └── restic/<host>/            # resticprofile configs + pre-backup hooks
└── docs/                         # general reference (network, models, proxmox, etc.)
    └── pfi/

Current stacks

GPU (fv-ml1):

  • llama-swap — GGUF model swapper via llama.cpp (port 9292)
  • vllm — embeddings (8001) + reranker (8002) + Skywork reward classifier (8003) via vLLM

Anaheim non-GPU (ana-docker):

  • traefik, crowdsec, gitea, vaultwarden, synapse, seafile, searxng, openwebui, sillytavern, mailrise, rustdesk, dockge, it-tools
  • (mattermost retired 2026-04-21 — compose dir may still linger, containers gone)
  • Notes / feeds: miniflux (RSS, 8080), nevermore (twice-daily LLM-curated brief, 8181, multi-tenant — extracted to its own repo at vh/nevermore), memos (note server, 5230)
  • Assistant tooling: task-board (MCP + dashboard for assistant task state, 7878)
  • Fleet services: beszel (metrics hub, port 8090), dozzle-hub (log viewer, 8088), backrest (restic UI, 9898)
  • Backup target: rest-server-ana on port 8000

GPU fv-ml1 (non-canonical for now):

  • comfyui, kokoro, parakeet, vibevoice alongside the canonical llama-swap + vllm

NH3 (nh3-docker):

  • adguard, dockge, plus Beszel/Dozzle agents

NH3 (Synology 10.100.50.50):

  • rest-server-nh3 — restic backup target (port 8000)

ESH home lab (esh-docker-vm):

  • adguard, homeassistant (macvlan), esphome, mosquitto, paperless-ngx, pgadmin, calibre-web-automated, drawio, traefik, homepage, uptime-kuma, plus Beszel/Dozzle agents

ESH home lab (vm-esh-nas):

  • filezilla (web UI on port 5800), dockge, plus Beszel/Dozzle agents. Mounts /mnt/{share,music,books,media} from the Debian NAS at 10.0.50.50.

Common tasks

Refresh one host's snapshot:

scripts/refresh-server-info.sh ana-docker

Refresh all hosts:

scripts/refresh-server-info.sh all

Refresh all Proxmox nodes (separate flow — captures VM/LXC/backup-coverage):

scripts/refresh-proxmox-info.sh all

Add a new host:

scripts/add-host.sh <name> <ip-or-user@ip>
scripts/refresh-server-info.sh <name>

Validate discovery (without hitting the network):

scripts/refresh-server-info.sh --validate-only all

Push a stack to a host (with diff + confirm):

scripts/deploy-stack.sh <host> <stack>

Pull every server's compose/conf trees into stacks-mirror/ (not committed — see .gitignore):

scripts/sync-stacks.sh all

Bootstrap a new fleet repo from this one:

scripts/fork-fleet.sh ~/development/<other-fleet>-management
# optional: override the fleet-name baked into the skeleton CLAUDE.md / README
scripts/fork-fleet.sh ~/development/<dest> <fleet-name>

Mirrors the reusable tooling (everything under scripts/, the generic playbook templates, .gitignore, conventions section of CLAUDE.md) into the destination dir, strips fleet-specific content (servers/, stacks/, configs/, fleet-named playbooks (deploy-*, decouple-*), docs/orientation.md, docs/runbooks/, docs/pfi/, STATUS.md, host-pinned helper scripts), regenerates skeleton CLAUDE.md / README.md / STATUS.md with the new fleet name, and initializes a fresh git history with one "Initial commit".

The script does not create a gitea remote or push — namespace + repo name are an explicit manual step. The "next steps" output prints the exact tea repo create + git remote add + git push commands to wire it up when ready.

Backup pipeline

Backups are driven by per-host resticprofile configs under configs/restic/<host>/, scheduled via systemd timers on each host:

  • Writes: each host backs up to its site-local rest-server (rest-server-ana or rest-server-nh3), over HTTP basic-auth.
  • Authentication: shared .htpasswd file on both rest-servers, one entry per host; credentials stored in /etc/restic/restic.env on each client host.
  • Encryption: per-host client-side passphrase in /etc/restic/password (unique per repo; losing it = losing that host's backups).
  • Visibility: Backrest (http://10.250.50.70:9898) shows every repo for browsing/restore.
  • Schedule: backup at 01:00 daily, forget at 03:00 daily, weekly check --read-data-subset 10% on Sundays.
  • Prune: manual ceremony (rest-server runs with --append-only, which blocks destructive prune ops).
  • Off-site: cross-site rsync between the two rest-server data dirs is planned (not yet implemented).

Coverage status (as of 2026-04-29)

Goal: every Docker host + configs + every database covered, not just VM images.

Layer State
VM-level (Proxmox vzdump) ✅ All running guests covered across pfi-pve / nh3-pve / esh-pve-nas; esh-pve has VMID 108 uncovered
ana-docker restic (host files + DBs) ✅ configs/restic/ana-docker/ with pre-backup hooks for synapse / seafile / vaultwarden-pg / gitea (native dump) / openwebui
fv-ml1 restic ✅ configs/restic/fv-ml1/ — bare-metal host files (no DB hooks needed)
nh3-docker restic ✅ Light — no DB hooks needed
esh-docker-vm restic ✅ With DB hooks for paperless-postgres (external), home-assistant + pgadmin + uptime-kuma (host-side sqlite3), calibre-web-automated (in-container sqlite3)
vm-esh-nas restic ✅ Light — NFS mounts explicitly excluded
nh3-dev (workstation) restic ✅ /home/lkraven + /etc with language-toolchain and build-output excludes
irv-ml1 restic ✅ Cross-site to rest-server-nh3 via WireGuard
esh-vm-db restic ✅ With pg_dumpall + mongodump pre-backup hooks
Cross-site redundancy ✅ ana-nas → nh3-nas rsync at 04:00 daily; nh3-nas → ana-nas at 05:00 daily (configs/rsync/)
Prune ceremony ✅ Quarterly manual ritual documented in docs/runbooks/nh3-prune-ritual.md (DSM-mediated --append-only toggle)
offen/docker-volume-backup sidecars on esh-docker-vm ❌ Remove once restic proves itself (~1 week of clean runs)

Authoritative vs. mirror

  • Authoritative: files on each server under /opt/docker/compose/<stack>/ and /opt/docker/conf/<stack>/.
  • This workspace: source-of-truth copies under stacks/<name>/ (hand-curated), and a gitignored mirror under stacks-mirror/ pulled by sync-stacks.sh.

Edit in stacks/, push with deploy-stack.sh. Never commit stacks-mirror/ — it can contain embedded plaintext secrets from upstream compose files that haven't been audited yet.

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