diff --git a/docs/diagnostics/r30-phi0-findings.md b/docs/diagnostics/r30-phi0-findings.md index d1c1ca3..62642bf 100644 --- a/docs/diagnostics/r30-phi0-findings.md +++ b/docs/diagnostics/r30-phi0-findings.md @@ -31,11 +31,13 @@ worldtree v1.0.0b14 `e1cdf82`). |---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:| | lofn | 0.809 | 0.954 / 0.967 (pos/neg) | ~0.000 | 0.93–0.94 | — (excursion faded pre-empty) | | mimir | 0.615 | 0.964 / 0.977 (pos/neg) | −0.012 / −0.015 | 0.97–0.99 | — (never emptied) | -| mask | 0.000 | 0.983 (pos) | +0.004 | 0.90 | — | +| mask | 0.000 | 0.983 / 0.982 (pos/neg) | +0.004 / +0.006 | 0.90 / 0.95 | — | | forseti | 0.239 | signal-poor (r²=0.46/0.61, excluded) | — | — | **0.95** (neg, r²=1.0) | -- **Joint fit, 5 well-conditioned runs (3 baselines): φ_P = 0.969 ± 0.01** - (range 0.954–0.983). +- **Joint fit, 6 well-conditioned runs (3 baselines; all 8 probes in): φ_P = 0.971 + ± 0.01** (range 0.954–0.983). Consistently a hair above config 0.95 — the + empty-tail read (no push modeling) nails **0.95 exactly**, so the joint fit's + ~0.97 carries a small upward bias from push under-attribution; true φ0 ≈ 0.95. - **Empty-tail cross-check** (forseti_neg's clean pure-decay tail): **φ0_P = 0.95**, r²=1.0 — independently confirms the joint fit. - **config cross-check:** measured φ0 ≈ 0.95–0.97 vs config `1−0.05 = 0.95` → @@ -69,9 +71,9 @@ operating point defines the cap; do NOT re-base the agents faster. conditioned regression (r² 0.46/0.61). Correctly excluded (its empty-tail still gave a clean 0.95). High/mid-baseline agents (lofn/mimir/mask) carry the joint-fit signal. -- **mask_neg** stalled on a demo-side turn hang (SSE stall on turn 14); - proceeding with 7/8. Non-blocking — mask_pos already anchors the neutral (0.0) - trait point; mask_neg would be a second neutral-baseline run. +- **mask_neg** recovered from a demo-side SSE stall (turn 14) and completed — all + 8/8 in. It is well-conditioned (φ_P 0.982, r² 0.95) and confirms the verdict + (didn't move it). `stream_turn_resilient`'s reconnect handled the transient hang. Series: `r30-phi0-{lofn,mimir,forseti,mask}-{pos,neg}.json` (per-turn pad + emotions_active + wall-clock). sec/turn ≈ 19–25 (16s spacing + processing). diff --git a/docs/diagnostics/r30-phi0-mask-neg.json b/docs/diagnostics/r30-phi0-mask-neg.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..019e852 --- /dev/null +++ b/docs/diagnostics/r30-phi0-mask-neg.json @@ -0,0 +1,675 @@ +{ + "probe": "R30 Phase-1 \u03c60 step-response", + "server": "http://10.250.50.152:8080", + "agent": "mask", + "step": "neg", + "baseline_pad": [ + 0.0, + 0.0, + 0.0 + ], + "end_user_id": "r30-phi0-mask-neg-1783086630", + "n_turns": 26, + "total_turns": 26, + "emotion_fade_turn_index": 15, + "seconds_per_turn": 80.82, + "method": "joint two-timescale fit (b): natural cadence, push_t covariate from emotions_active deltas; anchor = baseline_pad on b14, neutral(0) on b9.", + "series": [ + { + "turn": 1, + "sent": "impulse_neg", + "wall_clock": 1783086630.5, + "mood_reflects_after_turn": 0, + "pad": [ + 0.0, + 0.0, + 0.0 + ], 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