1.1 KiB
[2026-09-21] The two-epoch recipe is now 0 for 3, and this time the loss curve was CONFIDENTLY wrong.
⭐⭐⭐ The two-epoch recipe is now 0 for 3, and this time the loss curve was CONFIDENTLY wrong. On Brontë and Hemingway the epoch-1/epoch-2 checkpoints were TIED on eval loss, so preferring the earlier one cost nothing. Here the curve RESOLVED epoch 2 as better — ckpt900 +4.9× the 0.00393 median neighbour jitter above ckpt450, nowhere near tied — and epoch 2 lost every axis that resolves: 4.0× wider seed spread (0.148 vs 0.037), 1.8× the author's memorisation rate vs 1.0×, more ran-on (0.28 vs 0.20), worse on-beat. Its only win is a 0.019 voice point estimate, inside the floor, and its spread is ONE outlier seed (0.605 vs 0.457/0.531/0.554) — the third occurrence of that shape in the later checkpoint after lv-bronte's ckpt925 and lv-hemingway's ckpt1750. Durable: on this schedule the eval-loss minimum is not the ship candidate, and the curve's CONFIDENCE about it carries no information. Default this for Faulkner/Morrison/Chandler rather than re-deriving it.