Files
esh-pfi-infrastructure/services/semif-serve/spike/consumer-fit-2026-09-27/cicada-gate-w2-context.result.json
T
vh e268ff7c99 spike(semif): consumer fit for Wyrd scene change and Cicada affect gate (no service change)
Harness consumer_fit.py runs a consumer's per-turn decisions over hand-labelled
cases, with rotations, a content-free null control and tagged positive controls.

Cicada: an input-only 'does this earn a visible reaction?' gate scored 30/31
with descriptive options and 19/31 with terse yes/no options. Scoped by
Cicada's 2026-09-20 ruling (affect is emitted once, no mood-ring classifier).

Wyrd: on 3 real seed graphs, the first place-change wording failed its
positive controls (1/6 moves). A location-anchored rewording scored 21/21, and
exit selection scored 18/21. Semif fits the choice, not writing the node.
2026-09-27 09:20:35 -07:00

764 lines
14 KiB
JSON

{
"report": {
"scenario": "cicada-gate-w2-context",
"cases": 35,
"runs": 3,
"latency_per_turn": {
"e2e_ms": {
"median": 104.6,
"min": 102.9,
"max": 130.9,
"n": 105
},
"srv_ms": {
"median": 75.5,
"min": 74.7,
"max": 79.5,
"n": 105
}
},
"by_decision": {
"gate": {
"evidence": {
"n": 31,
"correct": 19,
"acc": 0.613
},
"blind_null": {
"n": 31,
"correct": 16,
"acc": 0.516
},
"controls": {
"n": 5,
"correct": 4,
"acc": 0.8
},
"non_controls": {
"n": 26,
"correct": 15,
"acc": 0.577
},
"by_label": {
"ordinary": {
"evidence": {
"n": 16,
"correct": 16,
"acc": 1.0
},
"blind_null": {
"n": 16,
"correct": 16,
"acc": 1.0
}
},
"react": {
"evidence": {
"n": 15,
"correct": 3,
"acc": 0.2
},
"blind_null": {
"n": 15,
"correct": 0,
"acc": 0.0
}
}
},
"unanimous": {
"n": 30,
"correct": 19,
"acc": 0.633
},
"split": {
"n": 1,
"correct": 0,
"acc": 0.0
},
"egregious": 0,
"blind_egregious": 0,
"misses": [
"dog-died: said ordinary (p=0.928, agree=1.0) want react",
"fish: said ordinary (p=0.651, agree=1.0) want react",
"hospital: said ordinary (p=0.651, agree=1.0) want react",
"laid-off: said ordinary (p=0.852, agree=1.0) want react",
"cut-finger: said ordinary (p=0.562, agree=0.5) want react",
"raccoon: said ordinary (p=0.808, agree=1.0) want react",
"snow-june: said ordinary (p=0.974, agree=1.0) want react",
"toaster: said ordinary (p=0.994, agree=1.0) want react",
"scarecrow: said ordinary (p=0.915, agree=1.0) want react",
"cookie: said ordinary (p=0.947, agree=1.0) want react",
"useless: said ordinary (p=0.987, agree=1.0) want react",
"cheese: said ordinary (p=0.997, agree=1.0) want react"
]
}
}
},
"rows": [
{
"case": "lights-off",
"tag": "control",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.887,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.113,
"ordinary": 0.887
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 112,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "timer",
"tag": "control",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.991,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.009,
"ordinary": 0.991
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 113,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "weather",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.994,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.006,
"ordinary": 0.994
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 112,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "weather-followup",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.881,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.119,
"ordinary": 0.881
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 124,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "add-milk",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.971,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.029,
"ordinary": 0.971
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 113,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "thermostat",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.844,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.156,
"ordinary": 0.844
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 114,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "what-time",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.992,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.008,
"ordinary": 0.992
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 111,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "tablespoons",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.998,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.002,
"ordinary": 0.998
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 113,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "times-table",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.999,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.001,
"ordinary": 0.999
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 112,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "recipe-step",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.981,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.019,
"ordinary": 0.981
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 133,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "soup",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.743,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.257,
"ordinary": 0.743
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 139,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "play-music",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.915,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.085,
"ordinary": 0.915
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 110,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "dentist",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.983,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.017,
"ordinary": 0.983
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 112,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "spell",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.994,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.006,
"ordinary": 0.994
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 112,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "remind",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.98,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.02,
"ordinary": 0.98
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 115,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "volume",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "ordinary",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.852,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.148,
"ordinary": 0.852
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 112,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": true,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "dog-died",
"tag": "control",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.928,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.072,
"ordinary": 0.928
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 112,
"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "got-job",
"tag": "control",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "react",
"p_top": 0.905,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.905,
"ordinary": 0.095
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 119,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "intruder",
"tag": "control",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "react",
"p_top": 0.955,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.955,
"ordinary": 0.045
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 152,
"ok": true,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "fish",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.651,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.349,
"ordinary": 0.651
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 119,
"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "hospital",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.651,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.349,
"ordinary": 0.651
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
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"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "laid-off",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.852,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.148,
"ordinary": 0.852
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
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"ok": false,
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"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "baby-steps",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "react",
"p_top": 0.731,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.731,
"ordinary": 0.269
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
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"ok": true,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "cut-finger",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.562,
"agreement": 0.5,
"probs": {
"react": 0.438,
"ordinary": 0.562
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 117,
"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "raccoon",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.808,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.192,
"ordinary": 0.808
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 117,
"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "snow-june",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.974,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.026,
"ordinary": 0.974
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 115,
"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "toaster",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.994,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.006,
"ordinary": 0.994
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
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"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "scarecrow",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.915,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.085,
"ordinary": 0.915
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 123,
"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "cookie",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.947,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.053,
"ordinary": 0.947
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 115,
"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "useless",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
"p_top": 0.987,
"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.013,
"ordinary": 0.987
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 116,
"ok": false,
"blind_ok": false,
"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "cheese",
"tag": "case",
"decision": "gate",
"label": "react",
"top": "ordinary",
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"agreement": 1.0,
"probs": {
"react": 0.003,
"ordinary": 0.997
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
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"ok": false,
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},
{
"case": "goodnight",
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"label": null,
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"react": 0.064,
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},
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"ok": null,
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"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "thanks",
"tag": "open",
"decision": "gate",
"label": null,
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"react": 0.307,
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},
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"ok": null,
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"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "sit-with-me",
"tag": "open",
"decision": "gate",
"label": null,
"top": "react",
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"agreement": 1.0,
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"react": 0.706,
"ordinary": 0.294
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
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"ok": null,
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"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
},
{
"case": "stop-timer",
"tag": "open",
"decision": "gate",
"label": null,
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"probs": {
"react": 0.156,
"ordinary": 0.844
},
"blind_top": "ordinary",
"input_tokens": 123,
"ok": null,
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"egregious": false,
"blind_egregious": false
}
]
}